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Thinking good

Thinking good, Fast and Slow is a best-selling book published in 2011 by Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences laureate Daniel Kahneman.

The book summarizes research that Kahneman conducted over decades, often in collaboration with Amos Tversky. System 2″ is slower, more deliberative, and more logical. The book delineates cognitive biases associated with each type of thinking, starting with Kahneman’s own research on loss aversion. System 1: Fast, automatic, frequent, emotional, stereotypic, unconscious.

System 2: Slow, effortful, infrequent, logical, calculating, conscious. Kahneman covers a number of experiments which purport to highlight the differences between these two thought systems and how they arrive at different results even given the same inputs. The second section offers explanations for why humans struggle to think statistically. It begins by documenting a variety of situations in which we either arrive at binary decisions or fail to precisely associate reasonable probabilities with outcomes. Kahneman explains this phenomenon using the theory of heuristics.

Kahneman uses heuristics to assert that System 1 thinking involves associating new information with existing patterns, or thoughts, rather than creating new patterns for each new experience. For example, a child who has only seen shapes with straight edges would experience an octagon rather than a triangle when first viewing a circle. The «anchoring effect» names our tendency to be influenced by irrelevant numbers. This is an important concept to have in mind when navigating a negotiation or considering a price. As an example, most people, when asked whether Gandhi was more than 114 years old when he died, will provide a much larger estimate of his age at death than others who thinking good asked whether Gandhi was more or less than 35 years old.

Critical thinking exams

Published dissertations,Conclusion Of A Persuasive Essay,Thesis online,
The availability heuristic is a mental shortcut that occurs when people make judgments about the probability of events on the basis of how easy it is to think of examples. The availability heuristic operates on the notion that, «if you can think of it, it must be important. The availability of consequences associated with an action is positively related to perceptions of the magnitude of the consequences of that action. System 1 is prone to substituting a difficult question with a simpler one. In what Kahneman calls their «best-known and most controversial» experiment, «the Linda problem,» subjects were told about an imaginary Linda, young, single, outspoken, and very bright, who, as a student, was deeply concerned with discrimination and social justice. Kahneman writes of a «pervasive optimistic bias», which «may well be the most significant of the cognitive biases.

This bias generates the illusion of control, that we have substantial control of our lives. A natural experiment reveals the prevalence of one kind of unwarranted optimism. The planning fallacy is the tendency to overestimate benefits and underestimate costs, impelling people to take on risky projects. This theory states that when the mind makes decisions, it deals primarily with Known Knowns, phenomena it has already observed. It rarely considers Known Unknowns, phenomena that it knows to be relevant but about which it has no information. He explains that humans fail to take into account complexity and that their understanding of the world consists of a small and necessarily un-representative set of observations.

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